México FC C vs Villalbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
45.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MEX
1 - 1
DAR
79%
12%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
COL
2 - 2
MEX
55%
20%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LME
2 - 2
MEX
37%
21%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MEX
8 - 1
ESC
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAY
0 - 2
MEX
27%
20%
53%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TOL
0 - 6
CFV
8%
12%
81%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CFV
4 - 1
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFV
2 - 1
CSC
58%
19%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LPL
0 - 1
CFV
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CFV
2 - 1
TOR
74%
14%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |