México FC C vs Villalbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
33.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 6
MEX
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 2
CAF
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
MEX
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 5
MEX
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 0
PEN
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CFV
7 - 0
PEN
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 2
SIP
78%
12%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NAY
3 - 1
CFV
7%
11%
82%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 0
CCH
40%
21%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
CFV
15%
16%
69%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |