México FC C vs Rayo 70 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAY
1 - 4
MEX
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MEX
4 - 2
TSI
52%
19%
29%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
MEX
2 - 0
NAY
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
COS
4 - 3
MEX
51%
20%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MEX
1 - 0
FUE
34%
20%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo 70
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAY
1 - 2
TOL
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
RAY
64%
17%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RAY
1 - 4
CSC
20%
18%
62%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 1
RAY
41%
20%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RAY
1 - 4
TOR
26%
20%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |