México FC C vs AD Sporting San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
46.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEX
7 - 0
TOL
87%
9%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MEX
4 - 0
SPA
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MEX
4 - 0
CSC
45%
21%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 6
MEX
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MEX
2 - 3
TOR
70%
16%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sporting San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
COL
3 - 0
FUE
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TOL
0 - 3
FUE
6%
11%
83%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FUE
2 - 1
LME
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 3
FUE
13%
15%
72%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
FUE
4 - 0
ESC
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |