México FC C vs Atletico Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
56.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+190%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 2
MEX
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 0
PEN
44%
20%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DAG
3 - 2
MEX
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 4
CCH
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SIP
1 - 2
MEX
60%
19%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDI
4 - 3
ATA
50%
20%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ATA
3 - 3
NAY
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COM
6 - 3
ATA
43%
21%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ATA
2 - 2
HAR
73%
15%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 4
ATA
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |