C.D. Z Esperanza vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Z Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
UDI
2 - 0
CDZ
63%
22%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GAL
7 - 0
CDZ
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
CDZ
0 - 0
LPA
14%
24%
62%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
SDT
2 - 1
CDZ
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CDZ
0 - 2
UDO
16%
24%
60%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
UCA
0 - 4
LPA
18%
25%
57%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
SDT
3 - 2
UCA
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
UCA
0 - 2
UDO
22%
25%
53%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
COR
7 - 1
UCA
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
UCA
0 - 1
LAN
33%
27%
41%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |