X Aranga vs Atlético Perillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ARA
53%
21%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
VIS
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 2
ARA
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
8 - 0
PCA
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RDS
1 - 3
ARA
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Perillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
BRI
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PER
0 - 3
ATL
33%
21%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIS
0 - 6
PER
70%
17%
14%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PER
6 - 2
VOR
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PCA
2 - 4
PER
31%
21%
47%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |