Villanueva de La Cañada A vs Union de Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanueva de La Cañada A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FTC
2 - 1
VIL
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 1
FOM
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
HMA
1 - 4
VIL
24%
22%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SPB
3 - 0
VIL
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
UAR
0 - 3
CAR
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 0
UAR
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UAR
3 - 1
NBO
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PDM
2 - 1
UAR
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UAR
1 - 2
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |