CD Villaconejos vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villaconejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CDF
3 - 0
VCJ
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VCJ
0 - 3
COL
20%
23%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COL
4 - 0
VCJ
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LEG
6 - 1
VCJ
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VCJ
1 - 2
GRI
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LEG
0 - 0
ARA
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
ARG
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 2
ARA
41%
26%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |