CD Villacarrillo vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
JUV
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATA
2 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
EST
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
6 - 0
ALH
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RON
0 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
39%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
HUE
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |