CD Villa de Simancas vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
CDV
4 - 1
CDL
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 3
CDV
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CDV
0 - 3
UNI
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 4
CDV
34%
23%
44%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CDV
2 - 0
VEG
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
CDO
3 - 0
FRE
68%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 3
VIR
54%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
FRE
37%
21%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BÉJ
4 - 2
FRE
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
CDM
18%
19%
62%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |