CD Villa de Simancas vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
51.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 4
CDV
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CDV
2 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CDV
1 - 1
BUR
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDV
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 3
LVC
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 2
BET
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
FRE
14%
18%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 0
GCE
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 9
FRE
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |