V. Simancas vs Cd Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V. Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
CLU
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CDP
2 - 1
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 4
ACF
25%
21%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NUM
5 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Cd Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
0 - 2
BCF
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BUD
1 - 2
CDA
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 0
COL
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SEG
1 - 1
CDA
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CIA
1 - 0
CDA
53%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |