Villa de Simancas B vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+134%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIA
0 - 2
VIL
18%
19%
64%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
JRO
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TUD
1 - 6
VIL
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
RAC
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 3
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 4
PIO
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
2 - 2
ARC
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ARC
4 - 0
ISI
36%
20%
44%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARC
75%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
APO
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |