Villa de Fortuna vs Pm Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JUM
2 - 4
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
AFC
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 1
VIL
42%
22%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
ABA
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Pm Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 2
CDB
66%
18%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAR
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
JAV
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IFA
1 - 1
CAR
12%
17%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUM
2 - 3
CAR
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |