Villa de Fortuna vs Pm Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
VIL
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
EDM
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 4
VIL
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CEU
1 - 1
VIL
10%
16%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pm Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
10 - 0
MUR
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
COR
0 - 5
CAR
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARC
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
VIS
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |