Villa de Fortuna vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
YEC
1 - 1
VIL
24%
23%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDB
59%
20%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
MSM
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MUL
1 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PLU
0 - 0
MSM
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 0
PLU
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PLU
1 - 3
ABA
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 3
PLU
55%
24%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PLU
1 - 0
CLU
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |