Villa de Fortuna vs Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BUL
2 - 0
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
BUL
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ABA
0 - 1
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ABA
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
JUV
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
JAV
6 - 1
MEN
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MEN
4 - 0
YEC
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PLI
0 - 3
MEN
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RIN
2 - 0
MEN
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MEN
3 - 0
DIT
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |