Villa de Fortuna vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ELP
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ABA
3 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
BUL
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 9
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ABA
7 - 2
CDB
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 1
ABA
34%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ABA
5 - 0
JAV
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABA
60%
19%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ABA
2 - 2
CDB
52%
20%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |