Villa de Fortuna vs CD El Esparragal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BAL
5 - 0
VIL
26%
23%
52%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 0
CDB
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ABA
5 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
RMC
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
MME
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Esparragal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
EEP
0 - 5
MME
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 1
EEP
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
EEP
1 - 4
PLU
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
JUM
0 - 2
EEP
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EEP
1 - 1
EFA
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |