Villa de Fortuna vs CD Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 4
VIL
19%
20%
60%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
6 - 0
CAR
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 2
VIL
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
AFC
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 1
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 1
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
ALB
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 1
CDB
73%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 3
ALB
65%
20%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 0
JUM
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |