Villa de Fortuna vs CD Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 2
VIL
34%
22%
45%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IFA
1 - 4
VIL
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 2
VIL
46%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
ALC
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 3
CDB
26%
20%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 0
ALB
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 2
JAV
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
5 - 0
JUM
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |