Villa de Fortuna vs Atlético Espeleño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MSM
1 - 1
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
MUL
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ABA
1 - 1
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHU
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CLU
0 - 1
VIL
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
REC
1 - 2
ESP
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
ESP
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
JER
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LEB
0 - 1
ESP
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |