1ª Regional Murcia Semi-finals
Global 7-2
Villa de Fortuna vs Atletico Cabezo de Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 4
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
VIL
7 - 1
CDB
93%
6%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 0
VIL
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LOR
0 - 5
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
ADP
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 4
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 5
CDT
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 0
VIL
20%
20%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 0
ADP
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
JAV
1 - 3
CDT
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |