Villa de Fortuna vs AD Palmeral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-107%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
VIL
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
CEU
86%
9%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
5 - 0
ESP
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AD Palmeral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 3
PAL
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
ALH
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIS
6 - 1
PAL
67%
18%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
CAR
16%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |