Cd Velilla vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cd Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
5 - 2
UDB
87%
8%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
5 - 6
CDV
14%
14%
72%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
SAL
43%
23%
35%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 4
CDV
12%
14%
73%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
5 - 1
CDV
34%
21%
46%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 1
GUA
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
JOP
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAS
26%
21%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CER
2 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |