Varea B vs Peña Balsamaiso CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AUT
4 - 2
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 2
AGO
34%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
VAR
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
3 - 1
CDS
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TED
3 - 0
BAL
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAL
3 - 4
RAP
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BAÑ
1 - 0
BAL
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 3
CEN
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ALD
3 - 0
BAL
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |