Varea B vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALD
0 - 1
VAR
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 0
CFC
68%
17%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
VAR
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 1
TED
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RAP
2 - 0
CEN
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 0
BAÑ
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BAÑ
1 - 3
CEN
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 2
CDC
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |