Varea B vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
REB
4 - 1
VAR
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 4
ALB
26%
21%
54%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
RAP
41%
21%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RBF
0 - 1
VAR
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 3
BAÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 1
TED
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 0
ALD
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALD
4 - 2
ILO
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
4 - 0
ALD
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 2
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |