Varea B vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 1
VAR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 3
BAL
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AUT
4 - 2
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 2
AGO
34%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 6
TED
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RAP
3 - 2
ALD
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BAÑ
2 - 0
ALD
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ALD
0 - 4
CEN
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CFC
4 - 1
ALD
60%
19%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |