Utrera B vs C.D. Arahelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
UTR
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UTR
5 - 0
AGU
54%
22%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 0
UTR
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
UTR
0 - 0
MOR
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ELR
5 - 0
UTR
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 0
AGU
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ELR
2 - 1
CDA
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 0
LUI
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
CDA
45%
24%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
EST
46%
22%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |