CD Urda vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Urda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 3
URD
31%
23%
45%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
URD
0 - 0
CDE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PTO
3 - 1
URD
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 4
URD
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
URD
37%
24%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
ECG
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 1
CAL
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
MOC
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAL
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
ORG
29%
24%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |