CD Union vs Val do Ulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
UNI
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
SIG
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 3
UNI
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
AGO
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Val do Ulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 0
BAY
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LCL
0 - 1
VAL
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 0
PIL
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
OUT
4 - 1
VAL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |