U. Zaratán vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Zaratán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PED
5 - 3
UNI
64%
17%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
ATL
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
REN
3 - 2
UNI
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
RAY
12%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PIO
5 - 1
UNI
76%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ISI
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
UNI
76%
14%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
JUV
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
UNI
48%
21%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
RAC
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |