U. Zaratán B vs Derecho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Zaratán B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOS
3 - 2
UNI
53%
22%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SEQ
3 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Derecho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
UDS
27%
23%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 1
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DER
0 - 4
ISI
39%
23%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |