Unión Valdebernardo vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Valdebernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
TOB
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
SSR
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UZN
3 - 1
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
CPO
16%
20%
65%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 1
ARA
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHO
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
TOB
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SSR
0 - 1
ARA
14%
20%
67%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 0
UZN
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |