Unión Manilva vs Alcalá CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Manilva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDU
36%
27%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 3
RON
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
JOD
1 - 4
CDU
30%
26%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 1
BAE
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDU
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
NSR
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RON
2 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
6 - 2
JOD
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BAE
3 - 0
ALC
52%
24%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |