Union Gerena vs AA. AA. Colspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SEV
0 - 1
UGR
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UGR
5 - 2
UMB
74%
14%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
UGR
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UGR
5 - 2
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
UGR
55%
20%
26%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AA. AA. Colspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 3
CAM
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
COL
61%
18%
21%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
VIS
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UBB
4 - 0
COL
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 3
ATC
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |