Unión Arroyo vs UD Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BET
0 - 0
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
RUE
2 - 2
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 2
MIG
29%
23%
49%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CEC
4 - 2
UNI
76%
14%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
UDS
4 - 0
BOE
66%
17%
16%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 1
UDS
32%
21%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
UDS
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
UDS
5 - 3
ARC
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 3
UDS
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |