Unión Arroyo vs Villa de Simancas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 3
UNI
30%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
TUD
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 3
UNI
39%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
CIG
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 4
VIL
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 3
ZAR
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REN
2 - 2
VIL
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
8 - 0
ARR
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |