Unión Arroyo vs A. Peñafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VIC
2 - 1
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATO
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
UVA
2 - 1
UNI
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 1
RUE
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOE
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 4
BOE
60%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MED
3 - 5
ATL
7%
13%
81%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
4 - 1
PED
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
ATL
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 4
ARC
57%
21%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |