C.D. Ugena vs Dancos Lillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Ugena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
UGE
4 - 2
VSA
36%
22%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 1
UGE
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UGE
2 - 6
CON
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOB
1 - 2
UGE
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UGE
5 - 2
NAM
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |