UD Serranillos vs Navatalgordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Serranillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PEB
0 - 3
SER
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SER
6 - 4
FCN
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 5
SER
50%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
3 - 0
ARE
77%
13%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
PIE
19%
18%
62%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Navatalgordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
5 - 2
PEB
76%
13%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 3
NAV
22%
19%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 4
ARE
56%
19%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 2
NAV
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 3
PIE
34%
21%
45%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |