CD UD Nerja vs Algarrobo UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD UD Nerja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 3
CDU
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
CDU
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDU
1 - 1
CDF
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 8
CDU
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CDU
3 - 0
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Algarrobo UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALG
6 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
ALG
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALG
8 - 0
REC
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOT
1 - 2
ALG
35%
24%
40%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
BOR
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |