CD Tugia vs Mogon CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+638%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CDV
1 - 4
CDT
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
CDT
2 - 4
LAG
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 6
CDT
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CDT
1 - 0
PUE
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CDT
5 - 1
CLO
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mogon CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MOG
1 - 0
VIL
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
JOD
1 - 1
MOG
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 4
RJA
19%
23%
59%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LIN
4 - 0
MOG
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 0
CDR
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |