CD Tugia vs Alcalá CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
CDT
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CDT
2 - 5
RON
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
JOD
1 - 1
CDT
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 4
CDT
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CDT
4 - 0
JOD
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MIJ
4 - 1
ALC
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |