Trivema Naval vs Chamartin Vergara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
34%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-102%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trivema Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHC
1 - 2
TRN
30%
20%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TRN
3 - 1
COL
55%
19%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 3
TRN
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TRN
0 - 3
VDB
64%
17%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
TRN
52%
19%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 3
EPA
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BPI
1 - 1
CHA
18%
18%
64%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 2
CLU
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CFR
3 - 4
CHA
10%
13%
77%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
6 - 1
UCV
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |