Tornado vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LEG
1 - 2
TOR
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
LRZ
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RVB
1 - 1
TOR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 2
TRJ
20%
23%
56%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PEG
1 - 1
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
27%
26%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
COS
2 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
ADP
21%
25%
54%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEG
6 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |