Tornado vs Ciempozuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
COS
0 - 0
TOR
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 2
ADP
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LEG
1 - 2
TOR
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
LRZ
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ciempozuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
CIE
58%
24%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 2
COS
57%
23%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CIE
1 - 0
ADP
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
27%
26%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CIE
1 - 1
LEG
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |