Tornado vs Atlético de Pinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PBO
2 - 3
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
RMC
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
STA
3 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 5
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Pinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PNT
2 - 0
CIE
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COS
3 - 4
PNT
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
PNT
1 - 1
ADP
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
PNT
15%
23%
62%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PNT
4 - 0
LEG
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |